Index  |  Page 1  |  Page 2  |  Page 3  |  Page 4  |  Page 5  |  Page 6   |  Page 7  |  Page 8     Page 9     Download
 

IWMC - World Conservation Trust

SEARCH

MAINPAGE
SUSTAINABLE USE
eNEWSLETTER
August
MEDIA CENTER

ELEPHANTS
FISH
MAMMALS
REPTILES
SEALS
SEA TURTLES
SHARKS
WHALES

ABOUT IWMC

CENSORED

CONTACT IWMC

EVENTS CALENDAR
WEB LINKS

Sustainable eNews

August 2002

IWMC
World Conservation Trust

 
Climate Change
A very Historic Perspective

 

Imagine what it would be like on this planet if it were so cold that agriculture was out of the question. Millions, even billions of people, would quickly starve and die. Only a few of the many species of creatures now living would be able to survive without vegetation and constant warmth. Only those people able to hunt the few surviving large mammals would be able to carry on, as people did in the days before civilization, when humans were hunting animals with sharpened sticks. If they were lucky, they had fire. The last great glaciation, called "The Wisconsin" in North America, was experienced all over the world, and it ended only 13,000 years ago. Since the major, massive ice sheets retreated, a few minor warming trends and repeat cold spells happened, causing the people who experienced them to retreat from the ice, or advance farther north when it shrank once again. Since the end of that last major glaciation, people as a species have prospered and covered all of the earth, except the Antarctic.

That glaciation was not unique, as the same scenario had happened time and again over millions of years. The in-between times were sometimes very hot all over the world, but the ice always came back. It was two miles thick and nothing could ever stop its advance.

Although it's a very unpleasant and scary prospect, everyone should realize that right now, we are experiencing an interglacial period. After this brief moment in time, and after an interval of increased warmth, the massive ice will come again, down from the north, up from the south, regardless of our industrial, automotive, or agricultural emissions. Nothing we can possibly do will stop this re-glaciation, as the cycle continues, in harmony with sun spots and earth orbital variation and the tilting of the earth on its own axis. So let us cope with the coming of a period of increased global warming before the deep freeze. Some island nations in the Pacific will be inundated, as polar ice melts in this cycle. Many of the world's coastal cities are going to be covered with sea-water within the next few hundred years. Some of the earth's leaders are going to experience political pressure to "stop the warming" by decreasing industrial emissions. These efforts are certainly laudable from a perspective of doing what is humanly possible to improve the immediate environment. No people, no area of the earth, should have to suffer from industrial emissions that can be diminished or prevented.

It would be criminal to ignore the problem. Yet, some nations' leaders believe it would be lunacy to sign the Kyoto protocol when less developed nations are given the go-ahead under it, to continue to emit pollutants that could be prevented. People have to come up with a better way to curtail pollution as much as possible. We may be a part of global warming, but even with that trend happening, we are absolutely not capable of staving off the next glaciation.

Against this backdrop of impending chill, the campaigns of organizations such as Greenpeace seem incredibly simplistic and self-serving. Campaigns against industrial emissions, with dire predictions of the dangers of global warming, all make millions of dollars and increase the political credibility of those organizations that promote them. They will not significantly diminish industrial pollution, however, because the world's leaders are all watching their own industries, their employment figures, and the welfare of their own people. We can't ever go back to a non-industrial existence, until the world itself gives us no other choice. When the globe is through warming, (a time, incidentally, of great benefit to some areas' agriculture) then the next glaciation shall come along, and it won't be a good time to be a vegetarian. The environmentalist doom-sayers are happily blaming President Bush and his fellow world leaders for not signing the Kyoto Protocol.

IWMC believes that the reality of the world's long-term climatic future is a matter of the overwhelming forces of nature. Until then, each nation has to face the ethics and the economics of alternative energy choices and balance those with the pragmatic realities of available energy supplies. Good luck, world.


Back to Top  |  Return to Index  | Back  |  End